Aegeri vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GUN
2 - 1
FCA
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 3
BUO
17%
19%
65%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 0
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCB
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
EMM
3 - 0
FCA
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 2
RUS
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 2
IBA
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 1
ASC
45%
24%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |