Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 3
LAU
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCA
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BUO
1 - 5
FCA
7%
15%
78%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FCA
0 - 1
SIO
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ZUR
0 - 2
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
YOB
0 - 1
ZUR
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCA
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LAU
1 - 2
ZUR
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
STA
2 - 3
ZUR
7%
13%
80%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |