Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
FCW
4 - 3
FCA
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
FCA
0 - 1
LAU
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCA
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
FCA
1 - 1
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
ZUR
1 - 2
GCZ
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
FCL
5 - 1
ZUR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
SER
3 - 2
ZUR
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1990 |
ZUR
0 - 3
YOB
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |