Aarau vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 0
WIN
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
FCA
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUG
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WOH
2 - 2
FCA
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 1
LAU
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 1
YVE
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
YVE
2 - 1
LOC
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
YVE
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
YVE
1 - 2
KRI
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
YVE
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |