Aarau vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
FCA
2 - 1
YVE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
FCA
4 - 1
SIO
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 3
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
YVE
1 - 1
ZUR
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
FCA
2 - 1
YVE
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
YVE
3 - 1
DEL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ETO
2 - 1
YVE
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
YVE
5 - 1
YOB
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |