Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 0
FCV
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
KRI
2 - 2
FCA
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 2
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 1
FCA
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 0
KRI
34%
25%
40%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 3
WIN
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
SER
5 - 2
WIN
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 5
WIN
42%
23%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 1
FCA
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |