Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
FCL
2 - 2
FCA
37%
25%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 1
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
THU
0 - 1
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 3
LAU
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
WIN
1 - 4
LAU
38%
25%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
DEL
1 - 0
WIN
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
WIN
1 - 1
NEX
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
FCL
4 - 1
WIN
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
WIN
3 - 2
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |