Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
FCA
11%
19%
70%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
FCA
4 - 2
THU
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIN
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FCA
4 - 0
NEX
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 0
NEX
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 1
WIN
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 1
GCZ
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 0
STA
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |