Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
KRI
1 - 2
FCA
13%
19%
68%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
FCA
2 - 0
WIN
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 0
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 0
YVE
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
NEX
1 - 4
THU
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
NEX
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
NEX
2 - 1
YVE
27%
25%
49%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
KRI
0 - 1
NEX
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 3
SCH
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |