Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 2
FCA
29%
23%
48%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
STA
1 - 1
FCA
37%
25%
39%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 2
STR
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCA
2 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
WIN
5 - 2
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
NEX
2 - 1
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 0
GCZ
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
YOB
1 - 0
NEX
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
THU
1 - 3
NEX
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
NEX
0 - 3
SCH
67%
19%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |