Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BIE
1 - 3
FCA
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FCA
3 - 0
WIN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
YOB
5 - 1
FCA
75%
15%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
NEX
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NEX
4 - 0
WOH
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BIE
0 - 2
NEX
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NEX
1 - 0
LEM
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEX
40%
24%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |