Aarau vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
FCA
1 - 1
LAU
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
SER
2 - 2
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
MUR
0 - 1
FCA
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1994 |
MAR
2 - 0
UDL
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
EST
1 - 0
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
MAR
3 - 2
VST
55%
24%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1994 |
VIT
0 - 1
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
MAR
0 - 0
GFC
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |