Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1984 |
FCA
4 - 1
ZUR
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1984 |
FCW
1 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1984 |
FCA
7 - 0
VEV
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1984 |
FCA
1 - 2
SER
25%
22%
54%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
CHI
0 - 2
FCA
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1984 |
VEV
3 - 1
FCL
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1984 |
FCL
4 - 1
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1984 |
LAC
3 - 2
FCL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1984 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
GCZ
3 - 0
FCL
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |