Challenge League . Jor. 23

Aarau vs Kriens analysis

Aarau Kriens
61 ELO 59
15.5% Tilt 22.4%
1431º General ELO ranking 3456º
17º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
50.2%
Aarau
23.5%
Draw
26.3%
Kriens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
Aarau
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.3%
Win probability
Kriens
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
-10%
-8%
Kriens

ELO progression

Aarau
Kriens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2020
LAU
Lausanne Sports
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
61%
21%
18%
62 72 10 0
09 Feb. 2020
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
42%
24%
34%
63 64 1 -1
02 Feb. 2020
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
Schaffhausen
SCH
70%
18%
12%
63 52 11 0
25 Jan. 2020
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0 - 2
Aarau
FCA
25%
24%
50%
63 57 6 0
21 Jan. 2020
FCA
Aarau
3 - 0
Baden
BAD
84%
12%
5%
63 43 20 0

Matches

Kriens
Kriens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2020
GCZ
Grasshopper
0 - 1
Kriens
KRI
45%
26%
29%
59 63 4 0
08 Feb. 2020
KRI
Kriens
2 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
49%
24%
27%
58 57 1 +1
02 Feb. 2020
LAU
Lausanne Sports
2 - 0
Kriens
KRI
69%
19%
12%
58 72 14 0
25 Jan. 2020
KRI
Kriens
0 - 0
Winterthur
WIN
39%
24%
36%
58 61 3 0
21 Jan. 2020
KRI
Kriens
4 - 2
Rapperswil
RAP
53%
22%
25%
59 54 5 -1
X