Aarau vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
STG
1 - 2
FCA
65%
20%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCA
5 - 0
DEL
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BIE
0 - 3
FCA
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SCB
0 - 3
FCA
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
ETO
0 - 2
SCB
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
ETO
61%
24%
16%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 0
ETO
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
ETO
2 - 1
KRI
45%
24%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 0
ETO
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |