Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
WIN
5 - 2
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 3
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIL
51%
21%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
FCA
5 - 1
FCK
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
YFJ
3 - 3
FCA
14%
16%
70%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 2
GCZ
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
5 - 2
CHI
44%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 2
ZUR
8%
15%
77%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FCP
0 - 1
CHI
19%
19%
62%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
LUG
5 - 1
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |