Aarau vs Biel-Bienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 3
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 0
FCA
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 2
LUG
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BIE
0 - 2
FCA
24%
24%
53%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
BIE
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BIE
4 - 0
LOC
62%
21%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCV
0 - 0
BIE
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BIE
0 - 2
FCA
24%
24%
53%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
BIE
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |