Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 1
NEX
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
DEL
2 - 1
FCA
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
FCA
3 - 0
WIN
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
FCL
2 - 2
FCA
37%
25%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 1
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
BAS
2 - 1
GCZ
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
BAS
4 - 3
LUG
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
ZUR
3 - 1
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
BAS
1 - 2
STG
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
YOB
0 - 3
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |