Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCA
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
SER
4 - 2
FCA
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
FCA
2 - 2
SIO
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1984 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCA
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
BAS
4 - 1
LAC
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCL
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
LAU
1 - 0
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
BAS
0 - 3
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1984 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |