Aarau vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
FCA
0 - 0
ZUR
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 2
DEL
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
THU
4 - 0
BAD
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ETO
0 - 0
BAD
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BAD
2 - 1
THU
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAD
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |