FBK Karlstad vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
8º
1º
26
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
45% | 11.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IKT
1 - 2
FBK
21%
23%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
TRO
0 - 2
FBK
70%
17%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FBK
4 - 2
ENK
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ENK
4 - 1
FBK
37%
23%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 4
FBK
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HER
3 - 3
VAN
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
STE
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 1
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
VFK
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |