FBC Melgar vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
75%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 2
MEL
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 0
MUN
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 1
MEL
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 0
SPC
40%
24%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
BIN
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
COM
4 - 2
HUA
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
GAR
1 - 0
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |