Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 4-5
FBC Melgar vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
VAL
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
JUN
5 - 0
MEL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 1
MEL
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 1
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 3
MEL
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
JUN
1 - 1
EQU
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
JUN
5 - 0
MEL
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 1
JUN
28%
29%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 0
JUN
30%
30%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |