FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
HUA
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
COB
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
COM
3 - 2
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 2
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
COM
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
AYA
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 1
SAM
41%
27%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
AYA
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
AYA
1 - 0
LEO
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |