FBC Melgar vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 0
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAM
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 2
MEL
16%
27%
57%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 1
CAN
72%
20%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SCI
0 - 0
MEL
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CUE
2 - 1
IVT
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 0
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 2
UCE
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 4
IVT
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |