FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SBO
2 - 1
MEL
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
HUA
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
MEL
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 1
SAM
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 2
HUA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CNI
0 - 1
ALI
28%
29%
43%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |