FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
SPC
2 - 0
MEL
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 0
BOL
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
SPO
0 - 0
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
MEL
0 - 0
CIE
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALI
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAL
60%
25%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALI
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
SBO
1 - 1
ALI
26%
28%
47%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 0
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALI
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |