FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 0
MEL
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
SBO
3 - 1
MEL
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 1
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
UNI
4 - 2
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 1
ALI
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 6
ALI
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CAU
1 - 1
ALI
20%
27%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |