Fatima vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
FAT
78%
14%
7%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 2
OLH
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
UDL
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
FAT
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -3 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
PAM
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
OPE
15%
23%
63%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
5 - 2
VIT
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
VIT
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |