Fatima vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FAT
4 - 0
COU
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
FAT
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FAT
0 - 3
PRA
16%
22%
62%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
FAT
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
USA
1 - 1
FAT
7%
14%
78%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
SER
30%
23%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SER
0 - 2
GDF
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BMA
1 - 1
SER
86%
10%
3%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
OLE
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SER
0 - 2
ANA
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |