Fatima vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
FAT
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FAT
3 - 1
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAT
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FAT
0 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FAT
2 - 0
MOU
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SER
4 - 2
PIN
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 2
SER
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SER
0 - 2
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
EVN
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |