Fatima vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 2
VIT
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
FAT
78%
14%
7%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 2
OLH
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
UDL
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
OPE
11%
20%
70%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
4 - 1
ANM
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
OPE
15%
23%
63%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |