Fatima vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
8º
6º
1
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 13 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 11 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 9 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 8 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 7 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 7 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALE
3 - 0
FAT
52%
27%
22%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 0
FAT
33%
28%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FAT
1 - 0
SAB
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
OEL
1 - 0
FAT
62%
24%
14%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
POM
0 - 3
FAT
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
OEL
0 - 0
AMO
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SAB
0 - 1
OEL
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
OEL
4 - 0
POM
63%
24%
13%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
OEL
1 - 0
FAT
62%
24%
14%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PER
0 - 2
OEL
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |