Fatima vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
FAT
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
ORI
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
FAT
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 2
1DE
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAT
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 2
1DE
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
LOU
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
QUA
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FAR
2 - 2
LOU
81%
15%
4%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | +1 |