Fatima vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAT
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
FAT
1 - 2
VAR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 0
FAT
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
EST
2 - 2
FAT
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
FAT
2 - 2
BMA
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
FEI
0 - 2
POR
55%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
GON
2 - 2
FEI
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SLB
1 - 0
FEI
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
FEI
0 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 1
FEI
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |