Fatima vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 1
FAT
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FAT
1 - 2
BMA
35%
28%
36%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SCF
1 - 1
FAT
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FAT
2 - 1
TRO
29%
29%
43%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
FAT
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
AVE
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAN
19%
26%
56%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAR
71%
20%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
GFC
18%
28%
55%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 0
CAR
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |