Fatima vs Riachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
FAT
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FAT
3 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 0
FAT
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 1
SER
26%
25%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 2
FAT
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
TOR
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
PRA
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
ALC
30%
24%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 3
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |