Apertura Finals . Semi-finals
Global 4-3
FAS vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 2
FAS
54%
22%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CDD
1 - 0
FAS
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAS
3 - 2
UES
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAS
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
FAS
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 2
FAS
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 2
JUV
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MET
1 - 2
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |