FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
MET
1 - 0
FAS
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FAS
1 - 0
UES
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SFC
0 - 1
FAS
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
FAS
0 - 1
CDD
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 0
FAS
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
PAS
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MET
1 - 1
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |