FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FAS
2 - 1
PAS
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
FAS
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CDD
1 - 0
FAS
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
FAS
0 - 0
CDD
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CDD
1 - 0
FAS
33%
24%
43%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
UES
2 - 3
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 3
AGU
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
ALI
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 2
CDD
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
ALI
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |