FAS vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
FAS
3 - 0
CHA
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
AGU
0 - 1
FAS
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
FAS
2 - 1
FIR
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FIR
2 - 1
FAS
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
FAS
2 - 0
CDA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 2
AGU
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
MUN
2 - 2
ALI
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
SAL
2 - 1
ALI
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ALI
2 - 2
SAL
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
ALI
0 - 1
FIR
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |