FAS U20 vs Alianza U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
2º
1º
39
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
5 - 0
LAF
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FAS
6 - 0
CHA
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
JOC
0 - 1
FAS
23%
24%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
PLA
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 3
FAS
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
6 - 1
ISI
74%
16%
11%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LAF
2 - 2
ALI
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 0
ONC
77%
14%
9%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
MAR
91%
6%
2%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 1
ALI
54%
21%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |