Non League Div One Northern North Round 11

Farsley Celtic vs Lancaster City analysis

Farsley Celtic Lancaster City
37 ELO 45
-2.8% Tilt 1.8%
10031º General ELO ranking 7630º
501º Country ELO ranking 298º
ELO win probability
33.4%
Farsley Celtic
26.1%
Draw
40.5%
Lancaster City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
Farsley Celtic
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.5%
Win probability
Lancaster City
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Farsley Celtic
-73%
-20%
Lancaster City

ELO progression

Farsley Celtic
Lancaster City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Farsley Celtic
Farsley Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2016
RAD
Radcliffe Borough
1 - 3
Farsley Celtic
FAR
31%
23%
46%
39 29 10 0
01 Oct. 2016
FAR
Farsley Celtic
0 - 1
Bishop Auckland
BIS
57%
21%
23%
40 31 9 -1
27 Sep. 2016
FAR
Farsley Celtic
2 - 1
Colne FC
COL
68%
18%
15%
39 31 8 +1
24 Sep. 2016
BUR
Burscough
0 - 5
Farsley Celtic
FAR
45%
24%
31%
38 36 2 +1
20 Sep. 2016
FAR
Farsley Celtic
2 - 1
Scarborough Athletic
SCA
75%
16%
9%
38 26 12 0

Matches

Lancaster City
Lancaster City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2016
DRO
Droylsden
1 - 3
Lancaster City
LAN
27%
22%
51%
44 22 22 0
08 Oct. 2016
LAN
Lancaster City
1 - 1
Droylsden
DRO
65%
19%
17%
45 23 22 -1
01 Oct. 2016
LAN
Lancaster City
2 - 3
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
34%
26%
40%
45 50 5 0
27 Sep. 2016
TRA
Trafford
1 - 4
Lancaster City
LAN
37%
25%
38%
44 39 5 +1
24 Sep. 2016
OSS
Ossett Albion
0 - 1
Lancaster City
LAN
14%
21%
65%
44 25 19 0