Farnborough vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
4 - 3
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 2
BID
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BID
1 - 1
FAR
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 1
FAR
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
3 - 0
VCD
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
4 - 3
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 2
GRA
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 2
ROY
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 3
HAM
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
WIN
37%
23%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |