Farnborough vs Weston-super-Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
FAR
4 - 0
TAU
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FAR
4 - 0
YAT
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +3 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
SWI
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 1
BLA
63%
18%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
WHI
2 - 1
FAR
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Weston-super-Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 2
WES
13%
18%
69%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
WES
1 - 0
WAL
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BEA
2 - 2
WES
33%
23%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
GOS
1 - 0
WES
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
WES
1 - 5
HAY
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |