Farnborough vs Wealdstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 2
FAR
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FAR
3 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FAR
5 - 2
BUR
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
FAR
4 - 1
RUG
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HEM
0 - 1
FAR
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
WEA
3 - 2
CRA
70%
18%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
WEA
2 - 3
ROT
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
WEA
2 - 1
HAR
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 2
WEA
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
HOR
0 - 0
WEA
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |