Conference Premier Southern South Round 38

Farnborough vs Poole Town analysis

Farnborough Poole Town
37 ELO 38
16.4% Tilt 20.6%
6104º General ELO ranking 8942º
205º Country ELO ranking 396º
ELO win probability
60.7%
Farnborough
19.5%
Draw
19.7%
Poole Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
Farnborough
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.7%
Win probability
Poole Town
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Farnborough
-21%
+31%
Poole Town

ELO progression

Farnborough
Poole Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Farnborough
Farnborough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2019
FRO
Frome Town
2 - 3
Farnborough
FAR
20%
20%
60%
38 29 9 0
23 Mar. 2019
FAR
Farnborough
3 - 2
Tiverton Town
TIV
54%
21%
25%
37 37 0 +1
16 Mar. 2019
CHE
Chesham United
0 - 1
Farnborough
FAR
54%
21%
25%
36 40 4 +1
12 Mar. 2019
SAL
Salisbury City
3 - 2
Farnborough
FAR
68%
18%
15%
36 45 9 0
09 Mar. 2019
FAR
Farnborough
2 - 2
Dorchester Town
DOR
65%
18%
17%
37 33 4 -1

Matches

Poole Town
Poole Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2019
POO
Poole Town
0 - 2
Hendon
HEN
61%
20%
20%
38 33 5 0
23 Mar. 2019
TAU
Taunton Town
1 - 0
Poole Town
POO
58%
22%
21%
39 41 2 -1
16 Mar. 2019
POO
Poole Town
3 - 1
Merthyr Town
MER
61%
20%
19%
38 33 5 +1
09 Mar. 2019
CHE
Chesham United
5 - 1
Poole Town
POO
46%
24%
30%
40 38 2 -2
02 Mar. 2019
POO
Poole Town
2 - 1
Beaconsfield
BEA
58%
21%
21%
39 36 3 +1