Farnborough vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
WEY
6 - 0
FAR
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
FAR
4 - 0
DUN
93%
5%
2%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FAR
2 - 2
MER
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 0
BAN
32%
22%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
RED
7 - 1
FAR
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
KIN
3 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
BAN
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
HER
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
WEA
1 - 0
HER
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
STR
1 - 2
HER
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |