Farense vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
51.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
FAR
1 - 2
SCP
31%
21%
48%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
SCP
7 - 0
FAR
83%
10%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
SCP
9%
14%
77%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 5
SCP
8%
14%
78%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1940 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
71%
14%
15%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
VST
0 - 3
SCP
8%
14%
77%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 3
FCP
68%
15%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |