Farense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 2
FAR
22%
28%
50%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 1
MAF
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
1DE
2 - 0
FAR
17%
26%
56%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 1
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 0
FAR
16%
25%
60%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
TOR
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
OEI
1 - 3
SER
31%
26%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
PIN
56%
23%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 5
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
UDL
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |